Us Recession 2024 Probability. The fed funds futures market suggests that investors are expecting at least three rate cuts by the end of the year, according to the cme fedwatch tool. Forecasting market kalshi, currently puts the chance of a 2024 recession at around 9%.
Percent, monthly, not seasonally adjusted jun 1967 to aug 2024 (1 day ago) add to data list. A recession would probably strike by the end of 2024, colliding with campaigning for the presidential election.